Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and ARPA Lombardia, alongside GFS and ICON model runs, converge on a daytime high near 17°C in Milan on March 28, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 26.0% for 16°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Italy promotes subsidence and clear skies, enabling strong solar insolation despite light winds and morning lows around 4–8°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. This setup exceeds typical March highs of 13–14°C, though minor high-cloud intrusions could cap peaks at 16–18°C. Hourly observations from official stations will refine outcomes as afternoon heating peaks, with resolution based on the highest verified reading before midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 28?
17°C 43%
16°C 27%
18°C 18%
15°C 6.7%
$21,434 Vol.
$21,434 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
27%
17°C
43%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 27%
18°C 18%
15°C 6.7%
$21,434 Vol.
$21,434 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
27%
17°C
43%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and ARPA Lombardia, alongside GFS and ICON model runs, converge on a daytime high near 17°C in Milan on March 28, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for 17°C and 26.0% for 16°C. A high-pressure ridge over northern Italy promotes subsidence and clear skies, enabling strong solar insolation despite light winds and morning lows around 4–8°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. This setup exceeds typical March highs of 13–14°C, though minor high-cloud intrusions could cap peaks at 16–18°C. Hourly observations from official stations will refine outcomes as afternoon heating peaks, with resolution based on the highest verified reading before midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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