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Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

16°C 32%

15°C 30%

14°C 18%

17°C 8%

Polymarket

$33,247 Vol.

16°C 32%

15°C 30%

14°C 18%

17°C 8%

Polymarket

$33,247 Vol.

8°C or below

$4,005 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$1,609 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$3,852 Vol.

1%

12°C

$3,622 Vol.

2%

13°C

$2,965 Vol.

6%

14°C

$2,525 Vol.

18%

15°C

$2,155 Vol.

30%

16°C

$3,442 Vol.

32%

17°C

$4,520 Vol.

8%

18°C or higher

$2,886 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15–16°C (62% combined implied probability) for Milan's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing daytime peaks in that narrow band under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flow over northern Italy. Recent 24-hour model updates have nudged probabilities upward from cooler analogs, reflecting observed boundary layer warming and reduced cloud interference, though close clustering highlights uncertainty from microscale factors like urban heat island effects at Milan Linate Airport (the resolution site) and potential afternoon shower development. Historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, but current climatological patterns favor the upper end; traders eye evening forecast refreshes for tipping signals.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,247
Date de fin
Mar 27, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15–16°C (62% combined implied probability) for Milan's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing daytime peaks in that narrow band under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flow over northern Italy. Recent 24-hour model updates have nudged probabilities upward from cooler analogs, reflecting observed boundary layer warming and reduced cloud interference, though close clustering highlights uncertainty from microscale factors like urban heat island effects at Milan Linate Airport (the resolution site) and potential afternoon shower development. Historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, but current climatological patterns favor the upper end; traders eye evening forecast refreshes for tipping signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15–16°C (62% combined implied probability) for Milan's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing daytime peaks in that narrow band under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flow over northern Italy. Recent 24-hour model updates have nudged probabilities upward from cooler analogs, reflecting observed boundary layer warming and reduced cloud interference, though close clustering highlights uncertainty from microscale factors like urban heat island effects at Milan Linate Airport (the resolution site) and potential afternoon shower development. Historical late-March averages hover around 14°C, but current climatological patterns favor the upper end; traders eye evening forecast refreshes for tipping signals.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Milan on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 16°C » à 32%, suivi de « 15°C » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 32¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Milan on March 27? » a généré $33.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Milan on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Milan on March 27? » est « 16°C » à 32%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 15°C » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Milan on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.