Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 82-83°F in Miami at 49% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models projecting persistent high pressure over South Florida on March 27. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours show a strengthening subtropical ridge, with Atlantic sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above average fueling daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm this pattern, as Miami logged highs of 84°F on March 24 and 82°F on March 25 amid light winds. Historical late-March averages hover around 79°F, but current climatological analogs from neutral ENSO conditions support the warmer outlook. New 10-day forecasts due March 28 could refine probabilities, with sea breeze timing as a key uncertainty factor.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 5.0%
$47,935 Vol.
$47,935 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 5.0%
$47,935 Vol.
$47,935 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 82-83°F in Miami at 49% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models projecting persistent high pressure over South Florida on March 27. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours show a strengthening subtropical ridge, with Atlantic sea surface temperatures 1-2°F above average fueling daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm this pattern, as Miami logged highs of 84°F on March 24 and 82°F on March 25 amid light winds. Historical late-March averages hover around 79°F, but current climatological analogs from neutral ENSO conditions support the warmer outlook. New 10-day forecasts due March 28 could refine probabilities, with sea breeze timing as a key uncertainty factor.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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