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Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

13°C 38%

12°C 24%

14°C 21%

11°C or below 8%

Polymarket

$123,689 Vol.

13°C 38%

12°C 24%

14°C 21%

11°C or below 8%

Polymarket

$123,689 Vol.

11°C or below

$2,944 Vol.

8%

12°C

$1,762 Vol.

24%

13°C

$1,477 Vol.

38%

14°C

$2,426 Vol.

21%

15°C

$1,447 Vol.

6%

16°C

$2,105 Vol.

3%

17°C

$1,581 Vol.

2%

18°C

$2,495 Vol.

1%

19°C

$2,285 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$65,997 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$39,171 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a maximum temperature of 12–13°C for Madrid on March 29, anchoring trader consensus with 13°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C. This positioning stems from the latest 24-hour model runs projecting persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with AEMET's outlook for below-normal temperatures through late March amid a cool continental airflow pattern. March 2026 has averaged slightly cooler than the 11–16°C climatological range, with no recent warm anomalies. Official AEMET hourly observations from Madrid stations will resolve the market, with final updates expected by evening as uncertainty narrows in the final hours.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a maximum temperature of 12–13°C for Madrid on March 29, anchoring trader consensus with 13°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C. This positioning stems from the latest 24-hour model runs projecting persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with AEMET's outlook for below-normal temperatures through late March amid a cool continental airflow pattern. March 2026 has averaged slightly cooler than the 11–16°C climatological range, with no recent warm anomalies. Official AEMET hourly observations from Madrid stations will resolve the market, with final updates expected by evening as uncertainty narrows in the final hours.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a maximum temperature of 12–13°C for Madrid on March 29, anchoring trader consensus with 13°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C. This positioning stems from the latest 24-hour model runs projecting persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with AEMET's outlook for below-normal temperatures through late March amid a cool continental airflow pattern. March 2026 has averaged slightly cooler than the 11–16°C climatological range, with no recent warm anomalies. Official AEMET hourly observations from Madrid stations will resolve the market, with final updates expected by evening as uncertainty narrows in the final hours.

Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models have converged on a maximum temperature of 12–13°C for Madrid on March 29, anchoring trader consensus with 13°C leading at 37.5% implied probability, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C. This positioning stems from the latest 24-hour model runs projecting persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating, consistent with AEMET's outlook for below-normal temperatures through late March amid a cool continental airflow pattern. March 2026 has averaged slightly cooler than the 11–16°C climatological range, with no recent warm anomalies. Official AEMET hourly observations from Madrid stations will resolve the market, with final updates expected by evening as uncertainty narrows in the final hours.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 13°C » à 38%, suivi de « 12°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29? » a généré $123.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29? » est « 13°C » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 12°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Madrid on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.