Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits between 36°C (36%) and 37°C (36%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts pinpointing 36.6°C maxima across Lucknow districts like Chinhat and Bakshika-Talab for March 30, following yesterday's observed 33.3°C high amid a 2-3°C warming trend under mainly clear skies. This positioning reflects strong daytime solar insolation from elevated sun angles in late March, low humidity (34-79% yesterday), and light easterly winds fostering boundary layer heating, though nearby Unnao blocks forecast 37.3-37.6°C. Key uncertainty differentiating outcomes lies in potential afternoon thunderstorms with lightning—forecast for isolated West UP—which could cap peaks below 37°C if onset precedes 2-4 PM IST heating maximum; current 26.6°C at 2:30 IST leaves room for model divergence as observations accrue.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 30 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Lucknow le 30 mars ?
36°C 44%
37°C 33%
35°C 12%
38°C 7%
32°C ou moins
<1%
33°C
1%
34 °C
1%
35°C
12%
36°C
44%
37°C
33%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
36°C 44%
37°C 33%
35°C 12%
38°C 7%
32°C ou moins
<1%
33°C
1%
34 °C
1%
35°C
12%
36°C
44%
37°C
33%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket evenly splits between 36°C (36%) and 37°C (36%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts pinpointing 36.6°C maxima across Lucknow districts like Chinhat and Bakshika-Talab for March 30, following yesterday's observed 33.3°C high amid a 2-3°C warming trend under mainly clear skies. This positioning reflects strong daytime solar insolation from elevated sun angles in late March, low humidity (34-79% yesterday), and light easterly winds fostering boundary layer heating, though nearby Unnao blocks forecast 37.3-37.6°C. Key uncertainty differentiating outcomes lies in potential afternoon thunderstorms with lightning—forecast for isolated West UP—which could cap peaks below 37°C if onset precedes 2-4 PM IST heating maximum; current 26.6°C at 2:30 IST leaves room for model divergence as observations accrue.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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