India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts issued March 28 project Lucknow maximum temperatures of 34-37°C on April 1, aligning with trader consensus favoring 36°C (35.5% implied probability) in a tight race against 37°C (27%) and 35°C (19.5%). Persistent dry conditions and clear skies through late March—recent highs around 35°C on March 29-30—drive gradual pre-monsoon heating, with above-normal temperatures by 2-4°C versus climatological norms. Differentiating factors include minor variations in solar insolation, soil moisture deficits amplifying daytime highs, and low-risk isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Numerical models show ensemble spread of 1-2°C; watch IMD daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 1?
36°C 31%
37°C 24%
35°C 20%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
24%
38°C
14%
39°C
10%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
4%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 31%
37°C 24%
35°C 20%
38°C 14%
33°C or below
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
24%
38°C
14%
39°C
10%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
4%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts issued March 28 project Lucknow maximum temperatures of 34-37°C on April 1, aligning with trader consensus favoring 36°C (35.5% implied probability) in a tight race against 37°C (27%) and 35°C (19.5%). Persistent dry conditions and clear skies through late March—recent highs around 35°C on March 29-30—drive gradual pre-monsoon heating, with above-normal temperatures by 2-4°C versus climatological norms. Differentiating factors include minor variations in solar insolation, soil moisture deficits amplifying daytime highs, and low-risk isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Numerical models show ensemble spread of 1-2°C; watch IMD daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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