Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60% implied probability to 80°F or higher in Denver today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 81-83°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming, downslope flow off the Rockies, and abundant sunshine with light winds. This follows a remarkable heat wave, including the all-time March record of 87°F on March 25 at Denver International Airport, where official highs are measured, amid climatological normals near 57°F. The 24.5% odds on 78-79°F reflect uncertainty from possible thin cirrus clouds reducing insolation or slight timing shifts in peak heating around 2-4 PM. Afternoon observations will sharpen resolution as models carry inherent spread in boundary layer details.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 59%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 2.3%
$25,402 Vol.
$25,402 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80°F or higher
59%
80°F or higher 59%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 2.3%
$25,402 Vol.
$25,402 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 60% implied probability to 80°F or higher in Denver today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and converging GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting peaks of 81-83°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming, downslope flow off the Rockies, and abundant sunshine with light winds. This follows a remarkable heat wave, including the all-time March record of 87°F on March 25 at Denver International Airport, where official highs are measured, amid climatological normals near 57°F. The 24.5% odds on 78-79°F reflect uncertainty from possible thin cirrus clouds reducing insolation or slight timing shifts in peak heating around 2-4 PM. Afternoon observations will sharpen resolution as models carry inherent spread in boundary layer details.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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