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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

48-49°F 37%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 11%

Polymarket

$67,282 Vol.

48-49°F 37%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 11%

Polymarket

$67,282 Vol.

43°F or below

$8,931 Vol.

2%

44-45°F

$3,969 Vol.

11%

46-47°F

$3,334 Vol.

22%

48-49°F

$3,165 Vol.

37%

50-51°F

$2,744 Vol.

22%

52-53°F

$3,963 Vol.

6%

54-55°F

$4,042 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$4,643 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$6,192 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$2,983 Vol.

<1%

62°F or higher

$23,321 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA position Chicago's highest temperature today around 48-49°F, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability as traders aggregate the sunny conditions and north-northwest winds of 5-10 mph ushering in cooler post-frontal air following recent severe thunderstorms on Thursday. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with overnight lows near 28°F capping peak warmth in the upper 40s, consistent with March 28 climatological normals of 52°F but moderated by the current continental polar air mass. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with official observations from O'Hare or Midway resolving the market; hourly updates could refine trader sentiment as the day progresses.

National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA position Chicago's highest temperature today around 48-49°F, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability as traders aggregate the sunny conditions and north-northwest winds of 5-10 mph ushering in cooler post-frontal air following recent severe thunderstorms on Thursday. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with overnight lows near 28°F capping peak warmth in the upper 40s, consistent with March 28 climatological normals of 52°F but moderated by the current continental polar air mass. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with official observations from O'Hare or Midway resolving the market; hourly updates could refine trader sentiment as the day progresses.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA position Chicago's highest temperature today around 48-49°F, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability as traders aggregate the sunny conditions and north-northwest winds of 5-10 mph ushering in cooler post-frontal air following recent severe thunderstorms on Thursday. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with overnight lows near 28°F capping peak warmth in the upper 40s, consistent with March 28 climatological normals of 52°F but moderated by the current continental polar air mass. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with official observations from O'Hare or Midway resolving the market; hourly updates could refine trader sentiment as the day progresses.

National Weather Service forecasts from NOAA position Chicago's highest temperature today around 48-49°F, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability as traders aggregate the sunny conditions and north-northwest winds of 5-10 mph ushering in cooler post-frontal air following recent severe thunderstorms on Thursday. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with overnight lows near 28°F capping peak warmth in the upper 40s, consistent with March 28 climatological normals of 52°F but moderated by the current continental polar air mass. Uncertainties remain in exact boundary layer mixing and urban heat effects, with official observations from O'Hare or Midway resolving the market; hourly updates could refine trader sentiment as the day progresses.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 48-49°F » à 37%, suivi de « 46-47°F » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28? » a généré $67.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28? » est « 48-49°F » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 46-47°F » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.