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Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

88-89°F 30%

86-87°F 27%

84-85°F 26.8%

90-91°F 5%

Polymarket

$21,664 Vol.

88-89°F 30%

86-87°F 27%

84-85°F 26.8%

90-91°F 5%

Polymarket

$21,664 Vol.

75°F or below

$5,818 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$1,712 Vol.

<1%

78-79°F

$1,586 Vol.

<1%

80-81°F

$1,513 Vol.

1%

82-83°F

$2,524 Vol.

2%

84-85°F

$1,977 Vol.

27%

86-87°F

$1,152 Vol.

27%

88-89°F

$1,310 Vol.

30%

90-91°F

$1,032 Vol.

5%

92-93°F

$1,444 Vol.

2%

94°F or higher

$1,596 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 88-89°F (29.5%) or 86-87°F (28.5%) for Austin on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast indicating a high near 88°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak heating. Ensemble model runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) show tight clustering around 86-90°F, differentiated by minor variances in boundary layer moisture and afternoon cumulus cloud development—potentially capping peaks at 86-87°F if sea-breeze influences linger, or allowing 88-89°F with sustained southerly winds exceeding 10 mph. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels minimizing convective interference, while climatological March norms (average high 74°F) underscore the anomalous warmth from persistent La Niña patterns. New 12z model updates expected midday could refine these implied probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,664
Date de fin
Mar 27, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 88-89°F (29.5%) or 86-87°F (28.5%) for Austin on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast indicating a high near 88°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak heating. Ensemble model runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) show tight clustering around 86-90°F, differentiated by minor variances in boundary layer moisture and afternoon cumulus cloud development—potentially capping peaks at 86-87°F if sea-breeze influences linger, or allowing 88-89°F with sustained southerly winds exceeding 10 mph. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels minimizing convective interference, while climatological March norms (average high 74°F) underscore the anomalous warmth from persistent La Niña patterns. New 12z model updates expected midday could refine these implied probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 88-89°F (29.5%) or 86-87°F (28.5%) for Austin on March 27, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast indicating a high near 88°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak heating. Ensemble model runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) show tight clustering around 86-90°F, differentiated by minor variances in boundary layer moisture and afternoon cumulus cloud development—potentially capping peaks at 86-87°F if sea-breeze influences linger, or allowing 88-89°F with sustained southerly winds exceeding 10 mph. Recent soundings confirm dry mid-levels minimizing convective interference, while climatological March norms (average high 74°F) underscore the anomalous warmth from persistent La Niña patterns. New 12z model updates expected midday could refine these implied probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Austin on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 88-89°F » à 30%, suivi de « 84-85°F » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Austin on March 27? » a généré $21.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Austin on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Austin on March 27? » est « 88-89°F » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 84-85°F » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Austin on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.