Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a high temperature of 82-83°F on April 3, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved based on verified station data. This positioning reflects pre-event forecast consensus from NWS models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR), which projected low- to mid-80s amid a cooling trend following March's record-warm average of 70.8°F and an April 1 record-tying 93°F at nearby Camp Mabry—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, moderating southerly winds, and increasing cloudiness ahead of severe storm threats. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data audits or instrument recalibrations altering the official reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 3?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$76,706 Vol.
$76,706 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$76,706 Vol.
$76,706 Vol.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a high temperature of 82-83°F on April 3, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved based on verified station data. This positioning reflects pre-event forecast consensus from NWS models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR), which projected low- to mid-80s amid a cooling trend following March's record-warm average of 70.8°F and an April 1 record-tying 93°F at nearby Camp Mabry—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, moderating southerly winds, and increasing cloudiness ahead of severe storm threats. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-preliminary data audits or instrument recalibrations altering the official reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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