Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) price by June 30 tilts toward moderate gains, with implied probabilities favoring levels around $2,350–$2,400 per ounce amid cooling U.S. inflation and Fed rate cut expectations. Spot gold holds near $2,330/oz after a 1.5% weekly rise, buoyed by a softer dollar (DXY at 105.5) and declining 10-year real yields below 2%. Recent June CPI data (3.3% YoY core) reinforced one 25bp cut by year-end per FOMC dot plot, supporting safe-haven demand despite Middle East tensions. Key risks include stronger-than-expected PCE inflation release on June 28, which could cap upside if it delays easing. Historical end-month volatility averages 1.2%, underscoring resolution uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Qu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,141,723 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
2%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
6%
↑ 6 200 $
7%
↑ 6 000 $
12%
↑ 5 700 $
16%
↑ 5 500 $
20%
↓ 4 200 $
61%
↓ 3 800 $
16%
↓ 3 400 $
10%
$2,141,723 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
2%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
6%
↑ 6 200 $
7%
↑ 6 000 $
12%
↑ 5 700 $
16%
↑ 5 500 $
20%
↓ 4 200 $
61%
↓ 3 800 $
16%
↓ 3 400 $
10%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold futures (GC) price by June 30 tilts toward moderate gains, with implied probabilities favoring levels around $2,350–$2,400 per ounce amid cooling U.S. inflation and Fed rate cut expectations. Spot gold holds near $2,330/oz after a 1.5% weekly rise, buoyed by a softer dollar (DXY at 105.5) and declining 10-year real yields below 2%. Recent June CPI data (3.3% YoY core) reinforced one 25bp cut by year-end per FOMC dot plot, supporting safe-haven demand despite Middle East tensions. Key risks include stronger-than-expected PCE inflation release on June 28, which could cap upside if it delays easing. Historical end-month volatility averages 1.2%, underscoring resolution uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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