Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward gold futures (GC) holding above $2,300/oz by June 30, with market-implied odds reflecting ~65% probability for prices in the $2,300–$2,400 range, propelled by the Fed's June 12 FOMC holding rates at 5.25–5.50% while adopting a more dovish tone on future cuts amid cooling CPI at 3.3% YoY. Spot gold surged 1.2% to $2,325/oz post-meeting on USD weakness (DXY -0.8%) and falling real yields (10Y TIPS -4bps). Central bank buying (2,335t YTD) and Middle East risks sustain upside bias, but upside caps near $2,400 resistance; monitor June 18 retail sales for demand cues amid seasonally flat June performance historically.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Qu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,116,209 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
8%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
13%
↑ 5 700 $
21%
↑ 5 500 $
28%
↓ 4 200 $
59%
↓ 3 800 $
17%
↓ 3 400 $
8%
$2,116,209 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
8%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
13%
↑ 5 700 $
21%
↑ 5 500 $
28%
↓ 4 200 $
59%
↓ 3 800 $
17%
↓ 3 400 $
8%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward gold futures (GC) holding above $2,300/oz by June 30, with market-implied odds reflecting ~65% probability for prices in the $2,300–$2,400 range, propelled by the Fed's June 12 FOMC holding rates at 5.25–5.50% while adopting a more dovish tone on future cuts amid cooling CPI at 3.3% YoY. Spot gold surged 1.2% to $2,325/oz post-meeting on USD weakness (DXY -0.8%) and falling real yields (10Y TIPS -4bps). Central bank buying (2,335t YTD) and Middle East risks sustain upside bias, but upside caps near $2,400 resistance; monitor June 18 retail sales for demand cues amid seasonally flat June performance historically.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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