Declining U.S. real yields and a weakening dollar, fueled by softer May CPI (3.3% YoY) and expectations for Fed rate cuts, drive bullish trader consensus on Polymarket for gold (GC) upside by June's end, with spot prices at $2,340/oz after peaking near $2,450 last week. Fed funds futures price a 70% chance of a September cut, boosting gold's appeal as central banks like China continue heavy buying amid geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East. Upcoming June 12 FOMC meeting and dot plot will be pivotal for rate path clarity, while COMEX June futures expiry could amplify volatility; historical end-June seasonality shows average 1.2% gains.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Qu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,132,457 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
6%
↑ 6 200 $
7%
↑ 6 000 $
14%
↑ 5 700 $
15%
↑ 5 500 $
21%
↓ 4 200 $
59%
↓ 3 800 $
16%
↓ 3 400 $
11%
$2,132,457 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
4%
↑ 6 500 $
6%
↑ 6 200 $
7%
↑ 6 000 $
14%
↑ 5 700 $
15%
↑ 5 500 $
21%
↓ 4 200 $
59%
↓ 3 800 $
16%
↓ 3 400 $
11%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Declining U.S. real yields and a weakening dollar, fueled by softer May CPI (3.3% YoY) and expectations for Fed rate cuts, drive bullish trader consensus on Polymarket for gold (GC) upside by June's end, with spot prices at $2,340/oz after peaking near $2,450 last week. Fed funds futures price a 70% chance of a September cut, boosting gold's appeal as central banks like China continue heavy buying amid geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East. Upcoming June 12 FOMC meeting and dot plot will be pivotal for rate path clarity, while COMEX June futures expiry could amplify volatility; historical end-June seasonality shows average 1.2% gains.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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