Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC futures) testing $2,400/oz by June 30, driven by Fed funds futures pricing a 55% chance of a September rate cut despite sticky CPI at 3.3% YoY, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding inflation hedge amid USD softening to 104.50 on DXY. Spot gold holds $2,330/oz after May's all-time high near $2,450, supported by record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD and Middle East tensions. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation (forecast 0.1% MoM core) and Q2-end positioning; a miss higher could cap upside, while sub-2,300 support risks pullback to $2,250 amid equity rotation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Qu'est-ce que Gold (GC) frappera__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,079,899 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
5%
↑ 6 500 $
9%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
12%
↑ 5 700 $
24%
↑ 5 500 $
28%
↓ 4 200 $
61%
↓ 3 800 $
17%
↓ 3 400 $
7%
$2,079,899 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
3%
↑ 8 500 $
3%
↑ 9 000 $
3%
↑ 8 000 $
3%
↑ 7 000 $
5%
↑ 6 500 $
9%
↑ 6 200 $
10%
↑ 6 000 $
12%
↑ 5 700 $
24%
↑ 5 500 $
28%
↓ 4 200 $
61%
↓ 3 800 $
17%
↓ 3 400 $
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC futures) testing $2,400/oz by June 30, driven by Fed funds futures pricing a 55% chance of a September rate cut despite sticky CPI at 3.3% YoY, bolstering gold's appeal as a non-yielding inflation hedge amid USD softening to 104.50 on DXY. Spot gold holds $2,330/oz after May's all-time high near $2,450, supported by record central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD and Middle East tensions. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation (forecast 0.1% MoM core) and Q2-end positioning; a miss higher could cap upside, while sub-2,300 support risks pullback to $2,250 amid equity rotation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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