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FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ?

Market icon

FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ?

Oui

98% chance
Polymarket

$92,730 Vol.

Oui

98% chance
Polymarket

$92,730 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$92,730
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$93,161
Date de fin
19 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Fenêtre de contestation

Final

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Questions fréquentes

« FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « L'article 702 de la FISA a-t-il été réautorisé avant son expiration ? » à 98%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ? » a généré $92.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ? » est « L'article 702 de la FISA a-t-il été réautorisé avant son expiration ? » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « FISA Section 702 réautorisé avant son expiration ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.