Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$65,284 Vol.
$65,284 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Oui
$65,284 Vol.
$65,284 Vol.
31 mai 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$65,284Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell ceases to be United States Representative from California's 14th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Eric Swalwell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,284Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell (CA-15) announced on April 13 his intent to resign from the House amid a House Ethics Committee investigation into sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women, driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on his departure by May 31. The California Democrat, who launched a 2026 gubernatorial bid last November, faces bipartisan pressure including donor demands for refunds and calls for resignation, capping a rapid political reversal despite his denials. His office indicated an effective date as early as Friday, April 18, to facilitate staff transition to the House Clerk. While reversal remains theoretically possible via withdrawn resignation letter, institutional and party dynamics make continuation highly improbable ahead of the special election for his seat.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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