WTI crude oil (CL) futures hover around $81.50 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus on a precarious supply-demand balance with upside risks from Middle East tensions offsetting high US inventories. Prices spiked 6% last week amid Israel-Iran escalation and Red Sea disruptions, but retreated on EIA data showing stockpiles at 460 million barrels—3% above the five-year average—and softening Chinese demand signals. Backwardation in the futures curve signals tight near-term supply, bolstered by ongoing OPEC+ production cuts extended through Q3. Key catalysts include tomorrow's EIA inventory report, potential Hurricane Beryl impacts on Gulf production, and the July 5 OPEC+ policy review, all capable of shifting end-June price trajectories amid a steady USD.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,675,235 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
15%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
53%
↑ $115
69%
↑ 110 $
74%
↑ $105
76%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
41%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
6%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
2%
$2,675,235 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
15%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
53%
↑ $115
69%
↑ 110 $
74%
↑ $105
76%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
41%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
6%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures hover around $81.50 per barrel, reflecting trader consensus on a precarious supply-demand balance with upside risks from Middle East tensions offsetting high US inventories. Prices spiked 6% last week amid Israel-Iran escalation and Red Sea disruptions, but retreated on EIA data showing stockpiles at 460 million barrels—3% above the five-year average—and softening Chinese demand signals. Backwardation in the futures curve signals tight near-term supply, bolstered by ongoing OPEC+ production cuts extended through Q3. Key catalysts include tomorrow's EIA inventory report, potential Hurricane Beryl impacts on Gulf production, and the July 5 OPEC+ policy review, all capable of shifting end-June price trajectories amid a steady USD.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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