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Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ?

Market icon

Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ?

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Journalist Seth Harp's early January 2026 X post identifying the Delta Force commander involved in the US operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro sparked doxing accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, who secured a House Oversight Committee subpoena and referred the matter to the Department of Justice for potential criminal charges. Despite this political pressure, the DOJ has filed no indictment or prosecution by the March 31 deadline, reflecting robust First Amendment protections for publishing publicly available military biographies and pushback from press freedom groups. A bipartisan bill to criminalize future special forces doxing does not apply retroactively. Traders' unanimous 100% "No" consensus stems from the absence of legal action over nearly three months, with slim odds of late-breaking charges absent new evidence or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,406
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Journalist Seth Harp's early January 2026 X post identifying the Delta Force commander involved in the US operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro sparked doxing accusations from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, who secured a House Oversight Committee subpoena and referred the matter to the Department of Justice for potential criminal charges. Despite this political pressure, the DOJ has filed no indictment or prosecution by the March 31 deadline, reflecting robust First Amendment protections for publishing publicly available military biographies and pushback from press freedom groups. A bipartisan bill to criminalize future special forces doxing does not apply retroactively. Traders' unanimous 100% "No" consensus stems from the absence of legal action over nearly three months, with slim odds of late-breaking charges absent new evidence or policy shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,406
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

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Questions fréquentes

« Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Quelqu'un a-t-il été inculpé pour avoir divulgué les informations personnelles du commandant de la Delta Force menant la capture de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 0¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jan 8, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » est « Quelqu'un a-t-il été inculpé pour avoir divulgué les informations personnelles du commandant de la Delta Force menant la capture de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » à seulement 0%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelqu'un accusé d'avoir doxé le commandant de la Delta Force en direction de Maduro avant le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.