Republican traders heavily favor a victory in Alabama's U.S. Senate race, with implied probabilities reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1992, including double-digit margins in recent cycles amid Trump carrying the state by 25 points in 2020. No competitive Democratic contender has emerged for the 2026 contest challenging incumbent Tommy Tuberville, bolstering GOP positioning in this non-competitive battleground with supermajority Republican control of state legislature and governorship. Absent major developments like a Tuberville scandal, national Democratic wave, or high-profile recruitment, the path remains clear; upcoming primaries could introduce variables but are unlikely to shift general election dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
94%
Démocrate
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$5,956 Vol.
94%
Démocrate
$3,532 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican traders heavily favor a victory in Alabama's U.S. Senate race, with implied probabilities reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1992, including double-digit margins in recent cycles amid Trump carrying the state by 25 points in 2020. No competitive Democratic contender has emerged for the 2026 contest challenging incumbent Tommy Tuberville, bolstering GOP positioning in this non-competitive battleground with supermajority Republican control of state legislature and governorship. Absent major developments like a Tuberville scandal, national Democratic wave, or high-profile recruitment, the path remains clear; upcoming primaries could introduce variables but are unlikely to shift general election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$9,488Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican traders heavily favor a victory in Alabama's U.S. Senate race, with implied probabilities reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1992, including double-digit margins in recent cycles amid Trump carrying the state by 25 points in 2020. No competitive Democratic contender has emerged for the 2026 contest challenging incumbent Tommy Tuberville, bolstering GOP positioning in this non-competitive battleground with supermajority Republican control of state legislature and governorship. Absent major developments like a Tuberville scandal, national Democratic wave, or high-profile recruitment, the path remains clear; upcoming primaries could introduce variables but are unlikely to shift general election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,488Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders heavily favor a victory in Alabama's U.S. Senate race, with implied probabilities reflecting the state's consistent Republican dominance since 1992, including double-digit margins in recent cycles amid Trump carrying the state by 25 points in 2020. No competitive Democratic contender has emerged for the 2026 contest challenging incumbent Tommy Tuberville, bolstering GOP positioning in this non-competitive battleground with supermajority Republican control of state legislature and governorship. Absent major developments like a Tuberville scandal, national Democratic wave, or high-profile recruitment, the path remains clear; upcoming primaries could introduce variables but are unlikely to shift general election dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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