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Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?

Market icon

Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?

This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from January to February 2022.

The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 0.7 percent or more from January 2022 to February 2022 and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS February 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on March 10, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.8%, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Volume
$30,074
End Date
Mar 10, 2022
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from January to February 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 0.7 percent or more from January 2022 to February 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS February 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on March 10, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ------------------------- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.8%, this market will resolve to “Yes”).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from January to February 2022.

The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 0.7 percent or more from January 2022 to February 2022 and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS February 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on March 10, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

-------------------------

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.8%, this market will resolve to “Yes”).
Volume
$30,074
End Date
Mar 10, 2022
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from January to February 2022. The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 0.7 percent or more from January 2022 to February 2022 and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS February 2022 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on March 10, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. ------------------------- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.7%, 0.6%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.3%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.8%, this market will resolve to “Yes”).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?" has generated $30.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.