Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico's host cities—Mexico City (Estadio Azteca), Guadalajara (Estadio Akron), and Monterrey—at 95.3% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's firm rejection of recent requests to alter the schedule. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed on April 11 that FIFA denied Iran's bid to shift its U.S.-based group-stage games to Mexico amid geopolitical tensions, reaffirming the original 104-match calendar across 16 venues. Earlier cartel violence in Jalisco prompted Liga MX postponements and venue scrutiny in February, but no official changes followed, with Azteca renovations progressing for the June 11 opener (Mexico vs. South Africa) and altitude advantages intact. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen security escalations or stadium failures, though preparations signal stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$125,630 Vol.
$125,630 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
$125,630 Vol.
$125,630 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico's host cities—Mexico City (Estadio Azteca), Guadalajara (Estadio Akron), and Monterrey—at 95.3% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's firm rejection of recent requests to alter the schedule. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed on April 11 that FIFA denied Iran's bid to shift its U.S.-based group-stage games to Mexico amid geopolitical tensions, reaffirming the original 104-match calendar across 16 venues. Earlier cartel violence in Jalisco prompted Liga MX postponements and venue scrutiny in February, but no official changes followed, with Azteca renovations progressing for the June 11 opener (Mexico vs. South Africa) and altitude advantages intact. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen security escalations or stadium failures, though preparations signal stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$125,630End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico's host cities—Mexico City (Estadio Azteca), Guadalajara (Estadio Akron), and Monterrey—at 95.3% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's firm rejection of recent requests to alter the schedule. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed on April 11 that FIFA denied Iran's bid to shift its U.S.-based group-stage games to Mexico amid geopolitical tensions, reaffirming the original 104-match calendar across 16 venues. Earlier cartel violence in Jalisco prompted Liga MX postponements and venue scrutiny in February, but no official changes followed, with Azteca renovations progressing for the June 11 opener (Mexico vs. South Africa) and altitude advantages intact. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen security escalations or stadium failures, though preparations signal stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.
The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$125,630End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup matches from Mexico's host cities—Mexico City (Estadio Azteca), Guadalajara (Estadio Akron), and Monterrey—at 95.3% implied probability for "No," driven by FIFA's firm rejection of recent requests to alter the schedule. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed on April 11 that FIFA denied Iran's bid to shift its U.S.-based group-stage games to Mexico amid geopolitical tensions, reaffirming the original 104-match calendar across 16 venues. Earlier cartel violence in Jalisco prompted Liga MX postponements and venue scrutiny in February, but no official changes followed, with Azteca renovations progressing for the June 11 opener (Mexico vs. South Africa) and altitude advantages intact. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen security escalations or stadium failures, though preparations signal stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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