Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 39.5%, driven by Dana White's post-UFC 304 confirmation of mutual interest following Pimblett's decision win over Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's quick submission of Renato Moicano earlier this year. Dan Hooker's 31.5% share stems from their long-standing rivalry, reignited by Hooker's recent TKO of Jalin Turner and past canceled booking, positioning it for a potential UK card. Conor McGregor's 28.1% reflects fan hype amid his inactivity and weight class questions, while Arman Tsarukyan and Mateusz Gamrot trail due to their higher rankings and busier title paths post-Pimblett's #12 ascent. Recent rankings and callouts have boosted top probabilities, underscoring lightweight division momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBenoît Saint Denis 45%
Conor McGregor 27.8%
Dan Hooker 15%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
$26,344 Vol.
$26,344 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
40%
Conor McGregor
28%
Dan Hooker
32%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
21%
Benoît Saint Denis 45%
Conor McGregor 27.8%
Dan Hooker 15%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
$26,344 Vol.
$26,344 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
40%
Conor McGregor
28%
Dan Hooker
32%
Mateusz Gamrot
16%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
21%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis as Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight opponent at 39.5%, driven by Dana White's post-UFC 304 confirmation of mutual interest following Pimblett's decision win over Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's quick submission of Renato Moicano earlier this year. Dan Hooker's 31.5% share stems from their long-standing rivalry, reignited by Hooker's recent TKO of Jalin Turner and past canceled booking, positioning it for a potential UK card. Conor McGregor's 28.1% reflects fan hype amid his inactivity and weight class questions, while Arman Tsarukyan and Mateusz Gamrot trail due to their higher rankings and busier title paths post-Pimblett's #12 ascent. Recent rankings and callouts have boosted top probabilities, underscoring lightweight division momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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