Market icon
Sports·UFC

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Market icon
Sports·UFC

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Rousey

82% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Rousey

82% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Trader consensus favors Ronda Rousey at 66% implied probability in the May 16 main event against Gina Carano on the MVP MMA card live from Intuit Dome on Netflix, reflecting Rousey's superior grappling pedigree, Olympic-level judo background, and more recent elite competition despite both fighters' long retirements—Rousey last fought in 2016 (12-2 record), Carano in 2009 (7-1). The stylistic matchup pits Rousey's armbar submissions and explosive takedowns against Carano's Muay Thai striking base, with Rousey holding a 5-year age edge (39 vs. 44) and faster finishing power. Recent press conferences and face-offs through late March showed both in camp without injury reports, while the full undercard—including Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry—was finalized last week, boosting event hype without shifting odds dramatically.

This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026.

It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Trader consensus favors Ronda Rousey at 66% implied probability in the May 16 main event against Gina Carano on the MVP MMA card live from Intuit Dome on Netflix, reflecting Rousey's superior grappling pedigree, Olympic-level judo background, and more recent elite competition despite both fighters' long retirements—Rousey last fought in 2016 (12-2 record), Carano in 2009 (7-1). The stylistic matchup pits Rousey's armbar submissions and explosive takedowns against Carano's Muay Thai striking base, with Rousey holding a 5-year age edge (39 vs. 44) and faster finishing power. Recent press conferences and face-offs through late March showed both in camp without injury reports, while the full undercard—including Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry—was finalized last week, boosting event hype without shifting odds dramatically.

This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026.

It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Rousey" if Ronda Rousey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gina Carano at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16 2026. It will resolve to "Carano" if Gina Carano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

" MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" is " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.