Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?

Umar Nurmagomedov 26.7%

Alexander Volkanovski 15.2%

Alexandre Pantoja 1.8%

Payton Talbott <1%

Polymarket

$11,003 Vol.

Umar Nurmagomedov 26.7%

Alexander Volkanovski 15.2%

Alexandre Pantoja 1.8%

Payton Talbott <1%

Polymarket

$11,003 Vol.

Umar Nurmagomedov

$833 Vol.

27%

Alexander Volkanovski

$0 Vol.

15%

Alexandre Pantoja

$497 Vol.

2%

Payton Talbott

$1,393 Vol.

1%

Rob Font

$1,282 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$1,227 Vol.

1%

Ricky Simón

$313 Vol.

<1%

Sean O'Malley

$0 Vol.

10%

Aiemann Zahabi

$265 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Munhoz

$280 Vol.

<1%

Song Yadong

$959 Vol.

12%

Petr Yan

$3,954 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Trader consensus prices Petr Yan at 78.5% implied probability to face bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili next, reflecting recent confirmations of a trilogy bout after their split results—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's title-capturing unanimous decision over the then-champion at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili affirmed he's holding out exclusively for the rematch, backed by UFC assurances of a guaranteed title shot upon recovery, with both camps targeting mid-summer 2026 around International Fight Week or UFC 331. Umar Nurmagomedov lingers at 18.8% as the unbeaten top-ranked challenger potentially next in line, while Alexander Volkanovski (14.7%), Song Yadong (12.7%), and Sean O'Malley (9.4%) draw lesser volume amid trilogy momentum; Dvalishvili's non-UFC RAF wrestling bout versus Henry Cejudo on April 18 holds no bearing on Octagon scheduling.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$11,003
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).Trader consensus prices Petr Yan at 78.5% implied probability to face bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili next, reflecting recent confirmations of a trilogy bout after their split results—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's title-capturing unanimous decision over the then-champion at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili affirmed he's holding out exclusively for the rematch, backed by UFC assurances of a guaranteed title shot upon recovery, with both camps targeting mid-summer 2026 around International Fight Week or UFC 331. Umar Nurmagomedov lingers at 18.8% as the unbeaten top-ranked challenger potentially next in line, while Alexander Volkanovski (14.7%), Song Yadong (12.7%), and Sean O'Malley (9.4%) draw lesser volume amid trilogy momentum; Dvalishvili's non-UFC RAF wrestling bout versus Henry Cejudo on April 18 holds no bearing on Octagon scheduling.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$11,003
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 57%, followed by "Umar Nurmagomedov" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?" is "Petr Yan" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Umar Nurmagomedov" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.