Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Petr Yan at 62.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bout, stemming from both fighters' January 2026 confirmations that UFC officials guaranteed a bantamweight title trilogy after Yan's upset decision win over champion Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, evening their head-to-head at 1-1. Umar Nurmagomedov trails closely at 42.7%, buoyed by his undefeated record, recent ranking climbs, and Dagestani grappling stylistic edge as the top contender. Sean O'Malley sits at 39.6% amid lingering rivalry from Dvalishvili's title-capturing knockout at UFC 306. Fresh uncertainty arose April 4 when Chael Sonnen warned of a potential O'Malley-Zahabi interim title fight, while Dvalishvili's RAF wrestling debut on April 18 could delay his octagon return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPetr Yan 82%
Umar Nurmagomedov 34.9%
Song Yadong 21.8%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.3%
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
Petr Yan
64%
Umar Nurmagomedov
35%
Song Yadong
22%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Rob Font
15%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
26%
Sean O'Malley
26%
Petr Yan 82%
Umar Nurmagomedov 34.9%
Song Yadong 21.8%
Alexandre Pantoja 2.3%
$11,312 Vol.
$11,312 Vol.
Petr Yan
64%
Umar Nurmagomedov
35%
Song Yadong
22%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Rob Font
15%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
26%
Sean O'Malley
26%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Petr Yan at 62.5% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next UFC bout, stemming from both fighters' January 2026 confirmations that UFC officials guaranteed a bantamweight title trilogy after Yan's upset decision win over champion Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, evening their head-to-head at 1-1. Umar Nurmagomedov trails closely at 42.7%, buoyed by his undefeated record, recent ranking climbs, and Dagestani grappling stylistic edge as the top contender. Sean O'Malley sits at 39.6% amid lingering rivalry from Dvalishvili's title-capturing knockout at UFC 306. Fresh uncertainty arose April 4 when Chael Sonnen warned of a potential O'Malley-Zahabi interim title fight, while Dvalishvili's RAF wrestling debut on April 18 could delay his octagon return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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