Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?

Market icon

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?

Ended: Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

Ended: Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

A Minecraft Movie 100.0%

Superman <1%

Jurassic World: Rebirth <1%

Captain America <1%

Polymarket

$19,194,882 Vol.

A Minecraft Movie 100.0%

Superman <1%

Jurassic World: Rebirth <1%

Captain America <1%

Polymarket

$19,194,882 Vol.

Market icon

Superman

$603,430 Vol.

No

Market icon

Jurassic World: Rebirth

$268,397 Vol.

No

Market icon

Captain America

$215,502 Vol.

No

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Avatar: Fire and Ash

$3,015,615 Vol.

No

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Fantastic 4

$461,427 Vol.

No

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Zootopia 2

$1,372,301 Vol.

No

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Wicked: For Good

$1,336,571 Vol.

No

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A Minecraft Movie

$2,279,734 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Lilo & Stich

$291,084 Vol.

No

Market icon

How to Train Your Dragon

$1,734,218 Vol.

No

Market icon

Michael

$6,625,691 Vol.

No

Market icon

Thunderbolts*

$990,911 Vol.

No

This is a market on how whether 'Superman' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Superman-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 11 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Superman' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Superman' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jurassic-World-Rebirth-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Captain-America-Brave-New-World-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Zootopia 2' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Zootopia-2-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 28 - 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Zootopia 2' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Zootopia 2' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Lilo-and-Stitch(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 23 - 25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/How-to-Train-Your-Dragon-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 13 - 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Michael' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Michael-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Michael' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Michael' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

This is a market on how whether 'Superman' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Superman-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 11 - 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Superman' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Superman' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Jurassic-World-Rebirth-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Captain-America-Brave-New-World-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Captain America: Brave New World' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Fantastic-Four-The-First-Steps-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 25 - 27) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Zootopia 2' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Zootopia-2-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 28 - 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Zootopia 2' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Zootopia 2' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Lilo-and-Stitch(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 23 - 25) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Lilo & Stich' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/How-to-Train-Your-Dragon-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 13 - 15) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'How to Train Your Dragon' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Michael' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Michael-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Michael' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Michael' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This is a market on how whether 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 3 - 5) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Thunderbolts*' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Minecraft Movie" at 100%, followed by "Superman" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?" has generated $19.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?" is "A Minecraft Movie" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Superman" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.