Name: What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?
Start: 2025-12-25T05:14:14.658468Z
End: 2026-02-01T04:59:59.999Z

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What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in January 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

↑ $880

↑ $830

↑ $790

↑ $750

↑ $720

↑ $700

↑ $680

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

↓ $660

↓ $640

↓ $620

↓ $590

↓ $560

↓ $520

↓ $470

Meta Hit Price Monthly

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in November 2025?

What will Meta (META) hit in November 2025?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in December 2025?

What will Meta (META) hit in December 2025?

Meta is developing a new frontier image and video-focused AI model codenamed “Mango”. You can read more about that here: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/meta-bets-mango-avocado-ai-224956071.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.

A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.

Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation. 

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public. 

A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Aster (ASTER/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ASTER/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ASTER_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ASTER/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Aster dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).

Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Uniswap (UNI/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the UNI/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/UNI_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Only the Binance UNI/USDT price feed will be used.
Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Will UNI dip to $4.50 by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 16:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Plasma dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Zcash (ZEC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:35 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ZEC/USDT “Low” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ZEC_USDT
with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ZEC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 1 megaton (1000 kilotons) of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all

This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for Metamask is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.

Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the CryptoPunks floor price dips to 20 ETH or lower at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "CryptoPunks price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/cryptopunks, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?

As of market creation, Mercantile Bank is estimated to release earnings on January 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Mercantile Bank's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.34 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mercantile Bank reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.34 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Mercantile Bank releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. 
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/).

Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Based’s cumulative Polymarket revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Based revenue bar chart available at https://dune.com/datadashboards/based-statistics, using the “Cumulative Revenue” value displayed when hovering over the daily data point.

This market will resolve as soon as the cumulative revenue shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for Dec 31, 2026 is finalized and no earlier value has met or exceeded that threshold.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on on-chain data, Based official communication, or other reliable crypto sources.

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?

As of market creation, 3M is estimated to release earnings on January 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for 3M’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.81 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 3M reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.81 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If 3M releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin
- MicroStrategy announces holding 750k+ BTC
- MicroStrategy announces bankruptcy
- Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) added to S&P 500

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/MicroStrategy.pdf

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

As of market creation, M&T Bank is estimated to release earnings on January 16, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for M&T Bank's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.50 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if M&T Bank reports GAAP EPS greater than $4.50 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If M&T Bank releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. 
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?

As of market creation, McCormick & Company is estimated to release earnings on January 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for McCormick & Company’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.88 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if McCormick & Company reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.88 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If McCormick & Company releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://yaps.kaito.ai/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

↑ $880
$947 Vol.
<1%

↑ $830
$181 Vol.
2%

↑ $790
$5,206 Vol.
1%

↑ $750
$2,319 Vol.
1%

↑ $720
$1,127 Vol.
4%

↑ $700
$1,013 Vol.
5%

↑ $680
$1,990 Vol.
17%

↓ $590
$819 Vol.
49%

↓ $560
$5,480 Vol.
18%

↓ $520
$319 Vol.
3%

↓ $470
$196 Vol.
3%

Market Context

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

Rules

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

Market Context

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

About

Related

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

↑ $880$947 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.8¢

↑ $830$181 Vol.2%buy Yes3.8¢buy No99.7¢

↑ $790$5,206 Vol.1%buy Yes2.1¢buy No99.4¢

↑ $750$2,319 Vol.1%buy Yes1.8¢buy No99.1¢

↑ $720$1,127 Vol.4%buy Yes4.4¢buy No97.0¢

↑ $700$1,013 Vol.5%buy Yes5¢buy No96¢

↑ $680$1,990 Vol.17%buy Yes20.9¢buy No87.1¢

↓ $590$819 Vol.49%buy Yes53¢buy No55¢

↓ $560$5,480 Vol.18%buy Yes18.9¢buy No82.1¢

↓ $520$319 Vol.3%buy Yes4.7¢buy No98.8¢

↓ $470$196 Vol.3%buy Yes4.9¢buy No99.0¢

Market Context

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

Rules

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

Market Context

What will Meta (META) hit in January 2026?

About

Related

↑ $880
$947 Vol.
<1%

↑ $830
$181 Vol.
2%

↑ $790
$5,206 Vol.
1%

↑ $750
$2,319 Vol.
1%

↑ $720
$1,127 Vol.
4%

↑ $700
$1,013 Vol.
5%

↑ $680
$1,990 Vol.
17%

↓ $590
$819 Vol.
49%

↓ $560
$5,480 Vol.
18%

↓ $520
$319 Vol.
3%

↓ $470
$196 Vol.
3%