Name: UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick
Start: 2025-06-10T00:50:23.362064Z
End: 2025-06-15T00:00:00Z

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC Fight Night on June 14, 2025, both of the following occur:

-In the men's welterweight main event bout between Kamaru Usman and Joaquin Buckley, Kamaru Usman wins the fight. 
-In the women's flyweight co-main event bout between Miranda Maverick and Rose Namajunas, Miranda Maverick wins the fight. 

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

If either fight is canceled or postponed beyond June 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight ends in the listed round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if there is a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for the fight ending in round 7 will resolve to "Yes".

If this fight is ruled a no contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be the official scoring of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Will the fight go the distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a boxing match on December 19, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of cumulative knockdowns in the boxing match between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua is equal to the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the fight is ruled a no contest or the fight is cancelled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the fight organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?

This market refers to the bout between Damien Davila and Gabriel Mendez, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Davila" if Damien Davila is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Mendez" if Gabriel Mendez is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Davila vs Mendez

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua fight each other in a publicly scheduled bout before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Sanctioned bouts and publicly promoted exhibition bouts will both count. Private matches or sparring not intended for public viewing, however, will not count.

Only the actual occurrence of the fight counts; an announcement or scheduled bout without the fight taking place will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available broadcast or video of the event.

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?

This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the fight and the specific round in which the fight ends.

A fighter will be considered to have won with the fight going the distance only if the fight completes all scheduled rounds and that fighter is declared the winner by the judges.

If the fight ends via a technical decision or a referee or doctor stoppage that results in a winner being declared, the winner will be considered to have won in the round in which the relevant stoppage occurred.

If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if Anthony Joshua wins via a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for “Joshua Round 7” will resolve to "Yes".

If this fight is declared a draw or technical draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Draw/Not Scored".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jake Paul win in Round 2?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Jake Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Anthony Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Draw/Not Scored".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua

This is a polymarket on whether Andrew Tate or Chase Demoor will win their upcoming boxing match, scheduled for December 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Tate" if Andrew Tate is declared the winner of this match.
This market will resolve to "Demoor" if Chase Demoor is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be the official event broadcast and result. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Maduro out
- US x Venezuela military engagement

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Maduro+Parlay.pdf

Venezuela Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. 

Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. 

Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.

The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. 

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?     

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) lists publicly tradable event-based contracts specifically related to sports at any point before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from CME Group (https://www.cmegroup.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

CME list sports event contracts by December 31?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a judge declares a mistrial in either of Luigi Mangione's ongoing federal or state cases by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A mistrial only needs to be declared in one of Mangione's ongoing cases for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If all ongoing cases as of February 25, 2025 resolve without a mistrial being declared, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from the ruling courts in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Luigi Mangione mistrial?

This market resolves to "Yes" if FanDuel makes at least one CME-cleared prediction market live and accessible to users on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No."

“CME-cleared” means the contract is listed on a CME Group exchange as a Designated Contract Market and subject to CME clearing. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- US confirms that aliens exist
- Conclusive proof becomes public that the Earth is flat
- Trump says the Moon Landing was faked

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Conspiracy+Edition.pdf

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will South Carolina (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Monad launches a token
- MetaMask launches a token
- Lighter launches a token
- Opensea launches a token
- Meteora launches a token

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the above-specified projects do not launch a token during this market’s above-specified time frame.

For a qualifying launch, the token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective projects; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Token Launch Party Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood’s recently acquired Designated Contract Market (DCM), MIAXdx, self-certifies at least one sports-related event-based contract with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC, Robinhood, or MIAXdx; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent hits any individual between September 8, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No.

A “hit” means a physical strike such as a punch or slap that makes contact. Shoves, pushes, grabs, or other non-striking altercations do not count.

The incident must both occur and be confirmed by the end date. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are:
Federal - Murder through use of a firearm
State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree

If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed.

If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Luigi Mangione plea deal in 2025?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Nuclear weapon detonated
- Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize
- Ukraine election called
- US-Russia nuclear deal
- Mass Gaza population relocation
- Ukraine agrees to give up the rest of Donbas

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war1.png
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Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Crenshaw initiates a lawsuit against Shawn Ryan by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick

Market Context

UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick

Rules

UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick

Market Context

UFC Fight Night Parlay: Usman and Maverick

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