Trader consensus crowns Aston Villa the Europa League frontrunner at 35% implied probability after topping the league phase with 21 points alongside Lyon and delivering a commanding 3-0 aggregate round of 16 win over Lille, fueled by Ollie Watkins' header in the first leg and a solid 2-0 second-leg home victory on March 19. Porto (16%) and Real Betis (15.5%) follow closely, buoyed by home quarterfinal first legs versus Nottingham Forest and Braga respectively on April 8-9, drawing on Porto's knockout pedigree and Betis' fourth-place league phase finish (17 points). Celta Vigo (8.5%) edges ahead of Nottingham Forest (7.5%), Bologna (6.6%), Freiburg (5.5%), and Braga (4.1%) amid competitive Freiburg-Celta and Bologna-Villa ties, with home advantage and recent round of 16 advances shaping sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 35%
Porto 16.0%
Real Betis 16%
Celta 8.5%
$2,514,866 Vol.
$2,514,866 Vol.
Aston Villa
35%
Porto
16%
Real Betis
16%
Celta
8%
Nott'm Forest
7%
Bologna
7%
Freiburg
5%
Braga
4%
Aston Villa 35%
Porto 16.0%
Real Betis 16%
Celta 8.5%
$2,514,866 Vol.
$2,514,866 Vol.
Aston Villa
35%
Porto
16%
Real Betis
16%
Celta
8%
Nott'm Forest
7%
Bologna
7%
Freiburg
5%
Braga
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus crowns Aston Villa the Europa League frontrunner at 35% implied probability after topping the league phase with 21 points alongside Lyon and delivering a commanding 3-0 aggregate round of 16 win over Lille, fueled by Ollie Watkins' header in the first leg and a solid 2-0 second-leg home victory on March 19. Porto (16%) and Real Betis (15.5%) follow closely, buoyed by home quarterfinal first legs versus Nottingham Forest and Braga respectively on April 8-9, drawing on Porto's knockout pedigree and Betis' fourth-place league phase finish (17 points). Celta Vigo (8.5%) edges ahead of Nottingham Forest (7.5%), Bologna (6.6%), Freiburg (5.5%), and Braga (4.1%) amid competitive Freiburg-Celta and Bologna-Villa ties, with home advantage and recent round of 16 advances shaping sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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