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Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

Arsenal 27%

Bayern Munich 23%

Barcelona 17%

PSG 13%

Polymarket

$220,598,460 Vol.

Arsenal 27%

Bayern Munich 23%

Barcelona 17%

PSG 13%

Polymarket

$220,598,460 Vol.

Arsenal

$3,423,149 Vol.

27%

Bayern Munich

$3,139,013 Vol.

23%

Barcelona

$3,141,569 Vol.

17%

PSG

$4,807,151 Vol.

13%

Real Madrid

$3,696,558 Vol.

11%

Liverpool

$3,190,100 Vol.

8%

Atletico Madrid

$10,252,228 Vol.

3%

Sporting

$12,696,125 Vol.

1%

Club Brugge

$18,963,025 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arsenal holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, buoyed by their unbeaten league phase run—including victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid—and a commanding 3-1 aggregate Round of 16 triumph over Bayer Leverkusen, signaling strong momentum heading into a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% amid consistent Bundesliga dominance and Round of 16 progression, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid, whose odds sit at 10.5% hampered by Thibaut Courtois' quad injury ruling him out of both legs. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly past Juventus and Chelsea respectively, yet Raphinha's fresh hamstring absence weakens Barca's attack versus Atletico Madrid, while Liverpool (7.5%) eyes an upset path through PSG. These high-stakes quarter-finals—set for early April—promise to eliminate at least one elite contender, preserving the tightly bunched dynamics among the last eight.

Arsenal holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, buoyed by their unbeaten league phase run—including victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid—and a commanding 3-1 aggregate Round of 16 triumph over Bayer Leverkusen, signaling strong momentum heading into a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% amid consistent Bundesliga dominance and Round of 16 progression, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid, whose odds sit at 10.5% hampered by Thibaut Courtois' quad injury ruling him out of both legs. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly past Juventus and Chelsea respectively, yet Raphinha's fresh hamstring absence weakens Barca's attack versus Atletico Madrid, while Liverpool (7.5%) eyes an upset path through PSG. These high-stakes quarter-finals—set for early April—promise to eliminate at least one elite contender, preserving the tightly bunched dynamics among the last eight.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Arsenal holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, buoyed by their unbeaten league phase run—including victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid—and a commanding 3-1 aggregate Round of 16 triumph over Bayer Leverkusen, signaling strong momentum heading into a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% amid consistent Bundesliga dominance and Round of 16 progression, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid, whose odds sit at 10.5% hampered by Thibaut Courtois' quad injury ruling him out of both legs. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly past Juventus and Chelsea respectively, yet Raphinha's fresh hamstring absence weakens Barca's attack versus Atletico Madrid, while Liverpool (7.5%) eyes an upset path through PSG. These high-stakes quarter-finals—set for early April—promise to eliminate at least one elite contender, preserving the tightly bunched dynamics among the last eight.

Arsenal holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, buoyed by their unbeaten league phase run—including victories over Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid—and a commanding 3-1 aggregate Round of 16 triumph over Bayer Leverkusen, signaling strong momentum heading into a favorable quarter-final against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 22.5% amid consistent Bundesliga dominance and Round of 16 progression, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid, whose odds sit at 10.5% hampered by Thibaut Courtois' quad injury ruling him out of both legs. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) advanced convincingly past Juventus and Chelsea respectively, yet Raphinha's fresh hamstring absence weakens Barca's attack versus Atletico Madrid, while Liverpool (7.5%) eyes an upset path through PSG. These high-stakes quarter-finals—set for early April—promise to eliminate at least one elite contender, preserving the tightly bunched dynamics among the last eight.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arsenal" at 27%, followed by "Bayern Munich" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League Winner " has generated $220.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League Winner ," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League Winner " is "Arsenal" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bayern Munich" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.