Trader consensus prices Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Konrad Laimer, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice in a virtual dead heat around 44-46% implied probabilities for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, reflecting their tied four-card tallies through the league phase and round of 16. Recent round of 16 second legs on March 17-18 yielded no breakout bookings among this group—unlike Sporting CP's Morten Hjulmand, who hit five and now faces a quarterfinal first-leg suspension versus Arsenal—preserving parity entering high-stakes quarterfinals like Real Madrid-Bayern Munich (Carreras vs. Laimer/Kim Min-Jae) and Arsenal-Sporting (Rice/Mikel Merino). These foul-prone midfielders and full-backs log heavy minutes in physical ties, with comparable paths to semifinals or final keeping the race razor-tight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedÁlvaro Fernández Carreras 47%
Konrad Laimer 46%
Martín Zubimendi 45%
Declan Rice 44%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
47%
Konrad Laimer
46%
Martín Zubimendi
45%
Declan Rice
44%
Mikel Merino
40%
Kim Min-Jae
38%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 47%
Konrad Laimer 46%
Martín Zubimendi 45%
Declan Rice 44%
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
47%
Konrad Laimer
46%
Martín Zubimendi
45%
Declan Rice
44%
Mikel Merino
40%
Kim Min-Jae
38%
Lamine Yamal
21%
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 23, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purpose of this market, a disciplinary card will count as a yellow card, a direct red card, or a red card resulting from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match. A 2nd yellow card accumulated in a match which results in a red card will count as one card in the final count, not a separate yellow and red card. The tally of these cards will be counted as reflected on the official UEFA Champions League website (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/disciplinary/).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus prices Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Konrad Laimer, Martín Zubimendi, and Declan Rice in a virtual dead heat around 44-46% implied probabilities for most yellow cards in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League, reflecting their tied four-card tallies through the league phase and round of 16. Recent round of 16 second legs on March 17-18 yielded no breakout bookings among this group—unlike Sporting CP's Morten Hjulmand, who hit five and now faces a quarterfinal first-leg suspension versus Arsenal—preserving parity entering high-stakes quarterfinals like Real Madrid-Bayern Munich (Carreras vs. Laimer/Kim Min-Jae) and Arsenal-Sporting (Rice/Mikel Merino). These foul-prone midfielders and full-backs log heavy minutes in physical ties, with comparable paths to semifinals or final keeping the race razor-tight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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