Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTurnout in 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election?
Turnout in 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election?
<65% 100.0%
65–70% <1%
70–75% <1%
75–80% <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Feb 12, 2026
<65%
Yes
65–70%
No
70–75%
No
75–80%
No
80–85%
No
85–90%
No
90%+
No
<65% 100.0%
65–70% <1%
70–75% <1%
75–80% <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Feb 12, 2026
<65%
$0 Vol.
Yes
65–70%
$0 Vol.
No
70–75%
$0 Vol.
No
75–80%
$0 Vol.
No
80–85%
$0 Vol.
No
85–90%
$0 Vol.
No
90%+
$0 Vol.
No
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 12, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Bangladesh Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
Volume
$0End Date
Feb 12, 2026Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Traders overwhelmingly price sub-65% turnout for Bangladesh's 2026 parliamentary election, reflecting historical lows like the 2024 vote's disputed 42% amid BNP boycott and the 2014 poll's 40%, compounded by post-revolution instability under interim leader Muhammad Yunus. Ongoing political violence, including recent clashes during local by-elections, eroded voter trust, factional rivalries between BNP and Awami League remnants, and security fears deter participation, echoing patterns in polarized South Asian contests. This commanding consensus embodies skin-in-the-game caution against rapid shifts. Realistic challenges include successful electoral reforms by the new commission, cross-party pacts reducing boycotts, or robust mobilization campaigns ahead of the mid-2026 vote, potentially lifting turnout to 70%+ as in 2018.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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