Tesla (TSLA) shares traded in a $361–$373 range on March 31, 2026, following a March 30 close at $361.83, down 2.76% amid softening Q1 vehicle delivery estimates of approximately 365,000 units—a 9% year-over-year increase but below optimistic forecasts amid intensifying EV competition and pricing pressures. Analyst actions weighed heavily, with Canaccord slashing its price target by $100 and HSBC downgrading to $131, reflecting concerns over margin compression and demand weakness after year-to-date declines from January peaks above $430. High trading volume underscores trader focus on near-term catalysts, including Q1 earnings expected around April 22, which could shift sentiment based on revenue trends and guidance for Cybertruck ramp-up and Full Self-Driving progress. Polymarket odds aggregate real-capital trader consensus on today's close relative to key thresholds like $360–$370.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$7,258 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$340
Yes
$350
Yes
$360
Yes
$370
Yes
$380
No
$7,258 Vol.
$340
$1,333 Vol.
Yes
$350
$800 Vol.
Yes
$360
$1,021 Vol.
Yes
$370
$3,260 Vol.
Yes
$380
$844 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares traded in a $361–$373 range on March 31, 2026, following a March 30 close at $361.83, down 2.76% amid softening Q1 vehicle delivery estimates of approximately 365,000 units—a 9% year-over-year increase but below optimistic forecasts amid intensifying EV competition and pricing pressures. Analyst actions weighed heavily, with Canaccord slashing its price target by $100 and HSBC downgrading to $131, reflecting concerns over margin compression and demand weakness after year-to-date declines from January peaks above $430. High trading volume underscores trader focus on near-term catalysts, including Q1 earnings expected around April 22, which could shift sentiment based on revenue trends and guidance for Cybertruck ramp-up and Full Self-Driving progress. Polymarket odds aggregate real-capital trader consensus on today's close relative to key thresholds like $360–$370.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$7,258End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares traded in a $361–$373 range on March 31, 2026, following a March 30 close at $361.83, down 2.76% amid softening Q1 vehicle delivery estimates of approximately 365,000 units—a 9% year-over-year increase but below optimistic forecasts amid intensifying EV competition and pricing pressures. Analyst actions weighed heavily, with Canaccord slashing its price target by $100 and HSBC downgrading to $131, reflecting concerns over margin compression and demand weakness after year-to-date declines from January peaks above $430. High trading volume underscores trader focus on near-term catalysts, including Q1 earnings expected around April 22, which could shift sentiment based on revenue trends and guidance for Cybertruck ramp-up and Full Self-Driving progress. Polymarket odds aggregate real-capital trader consensus on today's close relative to key thresholds like $360–$370.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 31 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$7,258End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Tesla (TSLA) shares traded in a $361–$373 range on March 31, 2026, following a March 30 close at $361.83, down 2.76% amid softening Q1 vehicle delivery estimates of approximately 365,000 units—a 9% year-over-year increase but below optimistic forecasts amid intensifying EV competition and pricing pressures. Analyst actions weighed heavily, with Canaccord slashing its price target by $100 and HSBC downgrading to $131, reflecting concerns over margin compression and demand weakness after year-to-date declines from January peaks above $430. High trading volume underscores trader focus on near-term catalysts, including Q1 earnings expected around April 22, which could shift sentiment based on revenue trends and guidance for Cybertruck ramp-up and Full Self-Driving progress. Polymarket odds aggregate real-capital trader consensus on today's close relative to key thresholds like $360–$370.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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