Trump approval rating on November 21?
$51,900 Vol.
41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.5–41.9 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<40.5
$8,832 Vol.
No
<40.5
$8,832 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$8,260 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$8,260 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$9,965 Vol.
Yes
41.0–41.4
$9,965 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$10,383 Vol.
No
41.5–41.9
$10,383 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$6,331 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$6,331 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,128 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,128 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on November 21, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market
Created At: Nov 17, 2025, 5:00 PM
Volume
$51,900End Date
Nov 21, 2025Created At
Nov 17, 2025, 5:00 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$51,900 Vol.
Trump approval rating on November 21?
41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.5 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.5–41.9 <1%
<40.5
$8,832 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$8,260 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$9,965 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$10,383 Vol.
No
42.0–42.4
$6,331 Vol.
No
42.5+
$8,128 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$51,900End Date
Nov 21, 2025Created At
Nov 17, 2025, 5:00 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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