Trump approval rating on December 31?
$330,533 Vol.
42.0–43.9% 54%
40.0–41.9% 39%
<40.0% 2.9%
44.0–45.9% 2.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<40.0%
$41,658 Vol.
3%
<40.0%
$41,658 Vol.
3%
40.0–41.9%
$70,795 Vol.
39%
40.0–41.9%
$70,795 Vol.
39%
42.0–43.9%
$26,344 Vol.
54%
42.0–43.9%
$26,344 Vol.
54%
44.0–45.9%
$35,108 Vol.
3%
44.0–45.9%
$35,108 Vol.
3%
46.0–47.9%
$57,811 Vol.
<1%
46.0–47.9%
$57,811 Vol.
<1%
48.0–49.9%
$49,319 Vol.
<1%
48.0–49.9%
$49,319 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$49,525 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$49,525 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Sep 11, 2025, 12:12 AM UTC
Volume
$330,533End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Sep 11, 2025, 12:12 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$330,533 Vol.
Trump approval rating on December 31?
42.0–43.9% 54%
40.0–41.9% 39%
<40.0% 2.9%
44.0–45.9% 2.5%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<40.0%
$41,658 Vol.
3%
40.0–41.9%
$70,795 Vol.
39%
42.0–43.9%
$26,344 Vol.
54%
44.0–45.9%
$35,108 Vol.
3%
46.0–47.9%
$57,811 Vol.
<1%
48.0–49.9%
$49,319 Vol.
<1%
≥50.0%
$49,525 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$330,533End Date
Jan 1, 2026Created At
Sep 11, 2025, 12:12 AM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.