Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?
47.5-47.9 100.0%
<46.5 <1%
46.5-46.9 <1%
47.0-47.4 <1%
$341,826 Vol.
$341,826 Vol.
Mar 7, 2025
<46.5
$36,267 Vol.
No
<46.5
$36,267 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9
$3,605 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9
$3,605 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4
$121,732 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4
$121,732 Vol.
No
47.5-47.9
$158,171 Vol.
Yes
47.5-47.9
$158,171 Vol.
Yes
48.0-48.4
$9,193 Vol.
No
48.0-48.4
$9,193 Vol.
No
48.5+
$12,858 Vol.
No
48.5+
$12,858 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 7, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 7, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Feb 28, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$341,826End Date
Mar 7, 2025Created At
Feb 28, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?
47.5-47.9 100.0%
<46.5 <1%
46.5-46.9 <1%
47.0-47.4 <1%
$341,826 Vol.
$341,826 Vol.
Mar 7, 2025
<46.5
$36,267 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9
$3,605 Vol.
No
47.0-47.4
$121,732 Vol.
No
47.5-47.9
$158,171 Vol.
Yes
48.0-48.4
$9,193 Vol.
No
48.5+
$12,858 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$341,826End Date
Mar 7, 2025Created At
Feb 28, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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