Market icon

Tour de France 2025 Winner

Market icon

Tour de France 2025 Winner

Tadej Pogacar 100.0%

Jonas Vingegaard <1%

Egan Bernal <1%

Remco Evenepoel <1%

Polymarket

$2,549,272 Vol.

Tadej Pogacar 100.0%

Jonas Vingegaard <1%

Egan Bernal <1%

Remco Evenepoel <1%

Polymarket

$2,549,272 Vol.

Jonas Vingegaard

$279,292 Vol.

No

Tadej Pogacar

$316,440 Vol.

Yes

Egan Bernal

$93,035 Vol.

No

Remco Evenepoel

$210,796 Vol.

No

Mikel Landa

$16,926 Vol.

No

Richard Carapaz

$99,627 Vol.

No

Primoz Roglic

$130,831 Vol.

No

Joao Almeida

$104,684 Vol.

No

Juan Ayuso

$56,632 Vol.

No

Matteo Jorgenson

$176,410 Vol.

No

Mattias Skjelmose

$109,692 Vol.

No

Adam Yates

$14,899 Vol.

No

Simon Yates

$58,856 Vol.

No

Carlos Rodriguez

$57,808 Vol.

No

Sepp Kuss

$54,248 Vol.

No

Antonio Tiberi

$44,137 Vol.

No

Ben O'Connor

$17,594 Vol.

No

Enric Mas Nicolau

$157,158 Vol.

No

Tao Geoghegan Hart

$14,514 Vol.

No

Alexander Vlasov

$17,685 Vol.

No

Santiago Buitrago

$23,091 Vol.

No

Florian Lipowitz

$173,828 Vol.

No

Lenny Martinez

$61,145 Vol.

No

David Gaudu

$36,483 Vol.

No

Felix Gall

$75,439 Vol.

No

Geraint Thomas

$20,797 Vol.

No

Cian Uijtdebroeks

$21,158 Vol.

No

Derek Gee

$27,145 Vol.

No

Giulio Ciccone

$55,334 Vol.

No

Daniel Martinez

$23,588 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tadej Pogačar wins the Tour de France 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Tour de France 2025 is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tour de France official website (https://www.letour.fr/en/).
Volume
$2,549,272
End Date
Jul 27, 2025
Created At
May 19, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tadej Pogačar wins the Tour de France 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Tour de France 2025 is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Tour de France official website (https://www.letour.fr/en/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tour de France 2025 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tadej Pogacar" at 100%, followed by "Jonas Vingegaard" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Tour de France 2025 Winner" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Tour de France 2025 Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tour de France 2025 Winner" is "Tadej Pogacar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonas Vingegaard" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tour de France 2025 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.