Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" delivered a confirmed $69 million domestic second weekend haul from 4,284 theaters, a sturdy 48% drop from its record-shattering $131 million three-day opening, cementing trader consensus at 100% for under $70 million as final tallies finalize Monday. Despite mixed-to-unfavorable reviews curbing explosive word-of-mouth, Nintendo's family draw and Easter timing propelled it to repeat No. 1 status over newcomers like "You, Me & Tuscany," pushing domestic cume past $300 million and global to $629 million. Strong holds for animated blockbusters like its 2023 predecessor support this positioning; an upset above $70 million would demand rare upward revisions in studio estimates, unlikely absent counting anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<70m 100.0%
70-80m <1%
80-90m <1%
>90m <1%
$312,945 Vol.
$312,945 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<70m
Yes
70-80m
No
80-90m
No
>90m
No
<70m 100.0%
70-80m <1%
80-90m <1%
>90m <1%
$312,945 Vol.
$312,945 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<70m
$140,418 Vol.
Yes
70-80m
$67,513 Vol.
No
80-90m
$42,573 Vol.
No
>90m
$62,440 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" delivered a confirmed $69 million domestic second weekend haul from 4,284 theaters, a sturdy 48% drop from its record-shattering $131 million three-day opening, cementing trader consensus at 100% for under $70 million as final tallies finalize Monday. Despite mixed-to-unfavorable reviews curbing explosive word-of-mouth, Nintendo's family draw and Easter timing propelled it to repeat No. 1 status over newcomers like "You, Me & Tuscany," pushing domestic cume past $300 million and global to $629 million. Strong holds for animated blockbusters like its 2023 predecessor support this positioning; an upset above $70 million would demand rare upward revisions in studio estimates, unlikely absent counting anomalies.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$312,945End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" delivered a confirmed $69 million domestic second weekend haul from 4,284 theaters, a sturdy 48% drop from its record-shattering $131 million three-day opening, cementing trader consensus at 100% for under $70 million as final tallies finalize Monday. Despite mixed-to-unfavorable reviews curbing explosive word-of-mouth, Nintendo's family draw and Easter timing propelled it to repeat No. 1 status over newcomers like "You, Me & Tuscany," pushing domestic cume past $300 million and global to $629 million. Strong holds for animated blockbusters like its 2023 predecessor support this positioning; an upset above $70 million would demand rare upward revisions in studio estimates, unlikely absent counting anomalies.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$312,945End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Universal's "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" delivered a confirmed $69 million domestic second weekend haul from 4,284 theaters, a sturdy 48% drop from its record-shattering $131 million three-day opening, cementing trader consensus at 100% for under $70 million as final tallies finalize Monday. Despite mixed-to-unfavorable reviews curbing explosive word-of-mouth, Nintendo's family draw and Easter timing propelled it to repeat No. 1 status over newcomers like "You, Me & Tuscany," pushing domestic cume past $300 million and global to $629 million. Strong holds for animated blockbusters like its 2023 predecessor support this positioning; an upset above $70 million would demand rare upward revisions in studio estimates, unlikely absent counting anomalies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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