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Politics·Bolivia Elections

Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Bolivia Elections

Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)

Fátima Tardío 100.0%

Franz Tata García <1%

Richard Moscoso <1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Fátima Tardío 100.0%

Franz Tata García <1%

Richard Moscoso <1%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

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Franz Tata García

$0 Vol.

No

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Fátima Tardío

$0 Vol.

Yes

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Richard Moscoso

$0 Vol.

No

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Hebert Marcelo Terrazas

$0 Vol.

No

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Cristian Sanabria

$0 Vol.

No

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Horacio Poppe

$0 Vol.

No

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Juan Antonio Jesús

$0 Vol.

No

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Enrique Leaño

$0 Vol.

No

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Wilber Chocamani

$0 Vol.

No

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Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López

$0 Vol.

No

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Cecilia Calani

$0 Vol.

No

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Pablo Arízaga

$0 Vol.

No

The Sucre mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Sucre mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fátima Tardío" at 100%, followed by "Franz Tata García" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Fátima Tardío" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Franz Tata García" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sucre Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.