Keir Starmer clings to power despite net approval ratings hovering around negative 50 percent, fueled by economic discontent and scandals like the February Epstein-linked appointments controversy that prompted aide resignations and calls to quit from Scottish Labour. Labour's parliamentary majority exceeding 80 seats shields against a government no-confidence vote, but internal leadership challenges remain viable absent deeper party unity. Trader consensus reflects risks amplified by projections of heavy Labour losses in May 7 local elections, Welsh Senedd contests, Scottish parliamentary vote, and mayoralties, where Reform UK gains could spark cabinet exits or snap election demands. Recent Iran crisis diplomacy, including UK-hosted Strait of Hormuz talks, has diverted attention without resolving domestic polling deficits versus Reform UK.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$10,492,646 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
April 30
2%
June 30
27%
December 31
56%
$10,492,646 Vol.
April 30
$138,425 Vol.
2%
June 30
$1,412,073 Vol.
27%
December 31
$879,550 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer clings to power despite net approval ratings hovering around negative 50 percent, fueled by economic discontent and scandals like the February Epstein-linked appointments controversy that prompted aide resignations and calls to quit from Scottish Labour. Labour's parliamentary majority exceeding 80 seats shields against a government no-confidence vote, but internal leadership challenges remain viable absent deeper party unity. Trader consensus reflects risks amplified by projections of heavy Labour losses in May 7 local elections, Welsh Senedd contests, Scottish parliamentary vote, and mayoralties, where Reform UK gains could spark cabinet exits or snap election demands. Recent Iran crisis diplomacy, including UK-hosted Strait of Hormuz talks, has diverted attention without resolving domestic polling deficits versus Reform UK.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$10,492,646End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer clings to power despite net approval ratings hovering around negative 50 percent, fueled by economic discontent and scandals like the February Epstein-linked appointments controversy that prompted aide resignations and calls to quit from Scottish Labour. Labour's parliamentary majority exceeding 80 seats shields against a government no-confidence vote, but internal leadership challenges remain viable absent deeper party unity. Trader consensus reflects risks amplified by projections of heavy Labour losses in May 7 local elections, Welsh Senedd contests, Scottish parliamentary vote, and mayoralties, where Reform UK gains could spark cabinet exits or snap election demands. Recent Iran crisis diplomacy, including UK-hosted Strait of Hormuz talks, has diverted attention without resolving domestic polling deficits versus Reform UK.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$10,492,646End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Mar 4, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Keir Starmer clings to power despite net approval ratings hovering around negative 50 percent, fueled by economic discontent and scandals like the February Epstein-linked appointments controversy that prompted aide resignations and calls to quit from Scottish Labour. Labour's parliamentary majority exceeding 80 seats shields against a government no-confidence vote, but internal leadership challenges remain viable absent deeper party unity. Trader consensus reflects risks amplified by projections of heavy Labour losses in May 7 local elections, Welsh Senedd contests, Scottish parliamentary vote, and mayoralties, where Reform UK gains could spark cabinet exits or snap election demands. Recent Iran crisis diplomacy, including UK-hosted Strait of Hormuz talks, has diverted attention without resolving domestic polling deficits versus Reform UK.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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