This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight, successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

This market pertains to the fourth Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the fourth StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the fourth launch, and this market will stay open until the fourth launch has occurred - if the fourth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.