Seoul's July precipitation total has been confirmed well above the 100mm threshold by Korea Meteorological Administration observations, driving the market's near-certain consensus on the 100mm+ outcome. This aligns with the East Asian summer monsoon, which delivers the region's peak rainfall through frequent heavy showers and thunderstorms, often totaling 250–350mm or more in central areas like Seoul based on long-term climatology. Mid-July developments, including intensified rainfall episodes with hourly rates up to 80mm across the Seoul metropolitan area, reinforced accumulation well beyond lower brackets. Official measurements leave minimal uncertainty, though rare data revisions or localized gauge discrepancies could theoretically adjust final figures, while historical variability shows July totals consistently exceed 100mm except in anomalous dry years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in July?
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+ 100.0%
<40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$14,046 Vol.
$14,046 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
<40mm
No
40-50mm
No
50-60mm
No
60-70mm
No
70-80mm
No
80-90mm
No
90-100mm
No
100mm+
Yes
100mm+ 100.0%
<40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
50-60mm <1%
$14,046 Vol.
$14,046 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
<40mm
$548 Vol.
No
40-50mm
$1,942 Vol.
No
50-60mm
$989 Vol.
No
60-70mm
$797 Vol.
No
70-80mm
$910 Vol.
No
80-90mm
$598 Vol.
No
90-100mm
$1,561 Vol.
No
100mm+
$6,701 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in July, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seoul's July precipitation total has been confirmed well above the 100mm threshold by Korea Meteorological Administration observations, driving the market's near-certain consensus on the 100mm+ outcome. This aligns with the East Asian summer monsoon, which delivers the region's peak rainfall through frequent heavy showers and thunderstorms, often totaling 250–350mm or more in central areas like Seoul based on long-term climatology. Mid-July developments, including intensified rainfall episodes with hourly rates up to 80mm across the Seoul metropolitan area, reinforced accumulation well beyond lower brackets. Official measurements leave minimal uncertainty, though rare data revisions or localized gauge discrepancies could theoretically adjust final figures, while historical variability shows July totals consistently exceed 100mm except in anomalous dry years.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in July, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$14,046End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in July, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seoul's July precipitation total has been confirmed well above the 100mm threshold by Korea Meteorological Administration observations, driving the market's near-certain consensus on the 100mm+ outcome. This aligns with the East Asian summer monsoon, which delivers the region's peak rainfall through frequent heavy showers and thunderstorms, often totaling 250–350mm or more in central areas like Seoul based on long-term climatology. Mid-July developments, including intensified rainfall episodes with hourly rates up to 80mm across the Seoul metropolitan area, reinforced accumulation well beyond lower brackets. Official measurements leave minimal uncertainty, though rare data revisions or localized gauge discrepancies could theoretically adjust final figures, while historical variability shows July totals consistently exceed 100mm except in anomalous dry years.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in July, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of July at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,046End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Seoul's July precipitation total has been confirmed well above the 100mm threshold by Korea Meteorological Administration observations, driving the market's near-certain consensus on the 100mm+ outcome. This aligns with the East Asian summer monsoon, which delivers the region's peak rainfall through frequent heavy showers and thunderstorms, often totaling 250–350mm or more in central areas like Seoul based on long-term climatology. Mid-July developments, including intensified rainfall episodes with hourly rates up to 80mm across the Seoul metropolitan area, reinforced accumulation well beyond lower brackets. Official measurements leave minimal uncertainty, though rare data revisions or localized gauge discrepancies could theoretically adjust final figures, while historical variability shows July totals consistently exceed 100mm except in anomalous dry years.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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