Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2025-08-29T19:18:28.935224Z
End: 2026-01-25T14:00:00Z

$79,232,197 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 10%

António José Seguro (IND) 8.3%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$781,713 Vol.
70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$411,749 Vol.
10%

António José Seguro (IND)
$409,838 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$504,122 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$1,231,637 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,079,610 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$3,714,029 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$3,233,999 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$833,129 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$254,969 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$191,166 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$4,186,782 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,690,939 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$580,922 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$7,848,434 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,281,514 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,533,000 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$3,816,398 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$4,486,935 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$6,426,337 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$13,911,417 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Pinto
$4,823,560 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Volume

$79,232,197

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$79,232,197 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 10%

António José Seguro (IND) 8.3%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 6.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$781,713 Vol.

70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$411,749 Vol.

10%

António José Seguro (IND)

$409,838 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$504,122 Vol.

André Ventura (CH)

$1,231,637 Vol.

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,079,610 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,714,029 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,233,999 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$833,129 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$254,969 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$191,166 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,186,782 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,690,939 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$580,922 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,848,434 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,281,514 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,533,000 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,816,398 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,486,935 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$6,426,337 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,911,417 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$4,823,560 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$79,232,197

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

54%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

42%

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

82%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$781,713 Vol.
70%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$411,749 Vol.
10%

António José Seguro (IND)
$409,838 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$504,122 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%