Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner
Start: 2025-12-03T21:04:52.04413Z
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00Z

$570,282 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 55%

André Ventura (CH) 37%

António José Seguro (IND) 3.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 3.2%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$37,708 Vol.
55%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$38,500 Vol.
37%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$44,615 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$31,200 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$36,214 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$22,010 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$20,693 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$20,582 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$19,716 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$23,473 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$25,821 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Humberto Correia
$12,306 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$18,422 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$22,178 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$20,085 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$20,054 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$22,066 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$21,510 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$22,219 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$20,149 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$20,327 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Pinto
$17,442 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$21,099 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Manuel João Vieira
$12,040 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$570,282

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$570,282 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 55%

André Ventura (CH) 37%

António José Seguro (IND) 3.7%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 3.2%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$37,708 Vol.

55%

André Ventura (CH)

$38,500 Vol.

37%

António José Seguro (IND)

$44,615 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$31,200 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$36,214 Vol.

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$22,010 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$20,693 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$20,582 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$19,716 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$23,473 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$25,821 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$12,306 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$18,422 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$22,178 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$20,085 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$20,054 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$22,066 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$21,510 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$22,219 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$20,149 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$20,327 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$17,442 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$21,099 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$12,040 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$570,282

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

43%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

81%

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

89%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$37,708 Vol.
55%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$38,500 Vol.
37%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$44,615 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$31,200 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$36,214 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$22,010 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$20,693 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$20,582 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%