Trader consensus pins 80-90 million first-week views at 68.5% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube upload, mirroring his recent string of high-stakes challenge videos like "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica" (82M week-one views) and "Ages 1-100 Fight for $500,000" (88M), which stabilized around this range after 2023's 100M+ peaks. Steady subscriber growth to 320 million and algorithm-favored thumbnails sustain this band, while 90M+ odds (28.5%) reflect tempered expectations from minor view velocity dips amid saturated creator competition. Negligible lower bins underscore unshakeable faith in his giveaway-driven dominance. Recent X teases of a massive yacht challenge have fueled buzz without markedly boosting upside probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 66%
90M+ 32%
70-80M 1.1%
<40M <1%
$678,828 Vol.
$678,828 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
1%
80-90M
66%
90M+
32%
80-90M 66%
90M+ 32%
70-80M 1.1%
<40M <1%
$678,828 Vol.
$678,828 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
1%
80-90M
66%
90M+
32%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins 80-90 million first-week views at 68.5% implied probability for MrBeast's next YouTube upload, mirroring his recent string of high-stakes challenge videos like "I Survived 50 Hours in Antarctica" (82M week-one views) and "Ages 1-100 Fight for $500,000" (88M), which stabilized around this range after 2023's 100M+ peaks. Steady subscriber growth to 320 million and algorithm-favored thumbnails sustain this band, while 90M+ odds (28.5%) reflect tempered expectations from minor view velocity dips amid saturated creator competition. Negligible lower bins underscore unshakeable faith in his giveaway-driven dominance. Recent X teases of a massive yacht challenge have fueled buzz without markedly boosting upside probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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