Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's final tally of total delays within, into, or out of the United States falling well below that threshold, as reflected on their live statistics page the following day. This commanding position stems from the absence of major disruptions like the storms hitting earlier in March or the March 31 spike exceeding 2,800 delays amid TSA staffing strains and localized ground delays at airports such as LaGuardia and O'Hare. FAA reports noted normalized operations post a March 28 Washington-area issue, with no nationwide ground stops, severe weather, or air traffic control outages reported for March 29. Scenarios to challenge this include rare data revisions by FlightAware or BTS upon full monthly reconciliation, though such adjustments are minimal for finalized daily counts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
Mar 27, 2026
6,500-7,000
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's final tally of total delays within, into, or out of the United States falling well below that threshold, as reflected on their live statistics page the following day. This commanding position stems from the absence of major disruptions like the storms hitting earlier in March or the March 31 spike exceeding 2,800 delays amid TSA staffing strains and localized ground delays at airports such as LaGuardia and O'Hare. FAA reports noted normalized operations post a March 28 Washington-area issue, with no nationwide ground stops, severe weather, or air traffic control outages reported for March 29. Scenarios to challenge this include rare data revisions by FlightAware or BTS upon full monthly reconciliation, though such adjustments are minimal for finalized daily counts.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$22,385End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's final tally of total delays within, into, or out of the United States falling well below that threshold, as reflected on their live statistics page the following day. This commanding position stems from the absence of major disruptions like the storms hitting earlier in March or the March 31 spike exceeding 2,800 delays amid TSA staffing strains and localized ground delays at airports such as LaGuardia and O'Hare. FAA reports noted normalized operations post a March 28 Washington-area issue, with no nationwide ground stops, severe weather, or air traffic control outages reported for March 29. Scenarios to challenge this include rare data revisions by FlightAware or BTS upon full monthly reconciliation, though such adjustments are minimal for finalized daily counts.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$22,385End Date
Mar 29, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 100% implied probability, driven by FlightAware's final tally of total delays within, into, or out of the United States falling well below that threshold, as reflected on their live statistics page the following day. This commanding position stems from the absence of major disruptions like the storms hitting earlier in March or the March 31 spike exceeding 2,800 delays amid TSA staffing strains and localized ground delays at airports such as LaGuardia and O'Hare. FAA reports noted normalized operations post a March 28 Washington-area issue, with no nationwide ground stops, severe weather, or air traffic control outages reported for March 29. Scenarios to challenge this include rare data revisions by FlightAware or BTS upon full monthly reconciliation, though such adjustments are minimal for finalized daily counts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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