Market icon

NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Market icon

NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Fernando Mendoza 95%

LT Overton 5.8%

Arvell Reese 1.2%

Francis Mauigoa <1%

Polymarket

$259,259 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza 95%

LT Overton 5.8%

Arvell Reese 1.2%

Francis Mauigoa <1%

Polymarket

$259,259 Vol.

Fernando Mendoza

$16,745 Vol.

95%

LT Overton

$5,731 Vol.

6%

Arvell Reese

$5,494 Vol.

1%

Francis Mauigoa

$4,210 Vol.

1%

Rueben Bain Jr

$38,789 Vol.

1%

Dante Moore

$18,442 Vol.

1%

Keldric Faulk

$6,129 Vol.

1%

Jordyn Tyson

$6,004 Vol.

<1%

Carson Beck

$4,726 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Fano

$6,530 Vol.

<1%

Ty Simpson

$5,703 Vol.

<1%

Drew Allar

$6,848 Vol.

<1%

Garrett Nussmeier

$4,392 Vol.

<1%

Kyron Drones

$4,704 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Downs

$5,438 Vol.

<1%

Arch Manning

$16,562 Vol.

<1%

David Bailey

$4,930 Vol.

<1%

Jalon Daniels

$5,889 Vol.

<1%

Nico Iamaleava

$8,279 Vol.

<1%

Peter Woods

$5,893 Vol.

<1%

Conner Weigman

$4,790 Vol.

<1%

John Mateer

$1,942 Vol.

<1%

Cade Klubnik

$6,828 Vol.

<1%

Jayden Maiava

$5,708 Vol.

<1%

Aidan Chiles

$5,790 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Lomu

$5,492 Vol.

<1%

T.J. Parker

$4,981 Vol.

<1%

Raylen Wilson

$6,066 Vol.

<1%

Cashius Howell

$5,933 Vol.

<1%

Taylen Green

$5,512 Vol.

<1%

Matayo Uiagalelei

$3,764 Vol.

<1%

LaNorris Sellers

$3,942 Vol.

<1%

Miller Moss

$4,406 Vol.

<1%

Sam Leavitt

$3,527 Vol.

<1%

Sawyer Robertson

$4,220 Vol.

<1%

Kadyn Proctor

$4,920 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$259,259
End Date
Apr 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 95%, followed by "LT Overton" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " has generated $259.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick ," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " is "Fernando Mendoza" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "LT Overton" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.