Fred Hoiberg's recent Associated Press National Coach of the Year award has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year, capping Nebraska's historic 28-7 season that delivered the program's first NCAA Tournament wins and Sweet 16 berth despite bottom-tier NIL resources and a prior turnaround from irrelevance. Tommy Lloyd holds steady at 25% following Arizona's dominant 35-2 regular season, Big 12 Coach of the Year nod, and ongoing Final Four run bidding for the program's first title since 1997. Lower probabilities for Dusty May (Michigan's rapid Final Four revival from 8-24) and Jon Scheyer (Duke's 35-3 mark marred by an early tournament upset) underscore preference for Hoiberg's underdog narrative amid award momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNCAAM: Naismith Coach of the Year
NCAAM: Naismith Coach of the Year
Fred Hoiberg 74%
Tommy Lloyd 20%
Mark Byington <1%
Bicky McMillan <1%
$41,097 Vol.
$41,097 Vol.
Fred Hoiberg
74%
Tommy Lloyd
20%
Mark Byington
<1%
Bicky McMillan
<1%
Bill Self
<1%
Brad Underwood
<1%
Travis Steele
<1%
Josh Schertz
<1%
Dusty May
<1%
TJ Otzelberger
<1%
Tom Izzo
<1%
Jon Scheyer
<1%
Fred Hoiberg 74%
Tommy Lloyd 20%
Mark Byington <1%
Bicky McMillan <1%
$41,097 Vol.
$41,097 Vol.
Fred Hoiberg
74%
Tommy Lloyd
20%
Mark Byington
<1%
Bicky McMillan
<1%
Bill Self
<1%
Brad Underwood
<1%
Travis Steele
<1%
Josh Schertz
<1%
Dusty May
<1%
TJ Otzelberger
<1%
Tom Izzo
<1%
Jon Scheyer
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the coach whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the coach whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Fred Hoiberg's recent Associated Press National Coach of the Year award has solidified trader consensus at 74% implied probability for the Naismith Men's College Coach of the Year, capping Nebraska's historic 28-7 season that delivered the program's first NCAA Tournament wins and Sweet 16 berth despite bottom-tier NIL resources and a prior turnaround from irrelevance. Tommy Lloyd holds steady at 25% following Arizona's dominant 35-2 regular season, Big 12 Coach of the Year nod, and ongoing Final Four run bidding for the program's first title since 1997. Lower probabilities for Dusty May (Michigan's rapid Final Four revival from 8-24) and Jon Scheyer (Duke's 35-3 mark marred by an early tournament upset) underscore preference for Hoiberg's underdog narrative amid award momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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