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Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Market icon
Sports·NCAA CBB

NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player

Keaton Wagler 13.0%

Cameron Boozer 2.3%

Braden Smith <1%

JT Toppin <1%

Polymarket

$218,317 Vol.

Keaton Wagler 13.0%

Cameron Boozer 2.3%

Braden Smith <1%

JT Toppin <1%

Polymarket

$218,317 Vol.

Keaton Wagler

$997 Vol.

13%

Cameron Boozer

$5,666 Vol.

2%

Braden Smith

$5,144 Vol.

1%

JT Toppin

$48,714 Vol.

1%

Caleb Wilson

$4,362 Vol.

1%

Joshua Jefferson

$45,775 Vol.

1%

Kingston Flemings

$4,817 Vol.

1%

Jeremy Fears Jr

$4,100 Vol.

1%

Darius Acuff Jr

$5,105 Vol.

1%

AJ Dybantsa

$93,637 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keaton Wagler's emergence as the trader consensus favorite at 13% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player stems from his pivotal role in propelling Illinois to the Final Four, highlighted by a 25-point Elite Eight outburst against a top seed and consistent all-around lines like 18 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists in earlier rounds. As a consensus Second-Team All-American freshman guard, his elite pick-and-roll creation, 41.7% three-point shooting, and low turnover rate (2.5 assist-to-turnover) differentiate him amid March Madness' chaos. Cameron Boozer's dominant freshman campaign for Duke fades to 2.2% post their stunning Elite Eight loss to UConn, while Braden Smith, Caleb Wilson, and others trail due to earlier exits or lesser tournament impact in this wide-open field with Final Four matchups looming.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,317
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Keaton Wagler's emergence as the trader consensus favorite at 13% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player stems from his pivotal role in propelling Illinois to the Final Four, highlighted by a 25-point Elite Eight outburst against a top seed and consistent all-around lines like 18 points, seven rebounds, and seven assists in earlier rounds. As a consensus Second-Team All-American freshman guard, his elite pick-and-roll creation, 41.7% three-point shooting, and low turnover rate (2.5 assist-to-turnover) differentiate him amid March Madness' chaos. Cameron Boozer's dominant freshman campaign for Duke fades to 2.2% post their stunning Elite Eight loss to UConn, while Braden Smith, Caleb Wilson, and others trail due to earlier exits or lesser tournament impact in this wide-open field with Final Four matchups looming.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$218,317
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Outstanding Player of the Tournament award at the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keaton Wagler" at 13%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " has generated $218.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player ," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " is "Keaton Wagler" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Most Outstanding Player " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.