Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, reflecting official Nasdaq data with March 31's $370.17 close and April 1's $369.37 settlement firmly within this bin after intraday stability around $370. This strong positioning follows a rebound from the March 27 low of $356.77 amid broader market volatility, bolstered by sustained cloud revenue momentum and AI-driven Copilot ecosystem updates, despite a 6% share price decline over the prior 30 days. With resolution imminent, challenges would demand rare official data revisions; traders eye Q3 2026 earnings on April 29 as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$370-$380 100.0%
<$320 <1%
$320-$330 <1%
$330-$340 <1%
$47,788 Vol.
$47,788 Vol.
<$320
No
$320-$330
No
$330-$340
No
$340-$350
No
$350-$360
No
$360-$370
No
$370-$380
Yes
$380-$390
No
$390-$400
No
$400-$410
No
>$410
No
$370-$380 100.0%
<$320 <1%
$320-$330 <1%
$330-$340 <1%
$47,788 Vol.
$47,788 Vol.
<$320
No
$320-$330
No
$330-$340
No
$340-$350
No
$350-$360
No
$360-$370
No
$370-$380
Yes
$380-$390
No
$390-$400
No
$400-$410
No
>$410
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing the week of March 30 in the $370-$380 range, reflecting official Nasdaq data with March 31's $370.17 close and April 1's $369.37 settlement firmly within this bin after intraday stability around $370. This strong positioning follows a rebound from the March 27 low of $356.77 amid broader market volatility, bolstered by sustained cloud revenue momentum and AI-driven Copilot ecosystem updates, despite a 6% share price decline over the prior 30 days. With resolution imminent, challenges would demand rare official data revisions; traders eye Q3 2026 earnings on April 29 as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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